Louisiana
W-L: (40-27) PR = 95.0798Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 2- 8 214 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 12-13 215 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 9- 7 217 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 3-12 220 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 7- 4 221 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 9- 1 222 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 6- 5 224 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1- 0 225 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 3- 2 227 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 3- 7 228 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 8- 0 301 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 3 304 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 7- 2 306 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 6-13 307 A Dallas Baptist 11- 6 308 A Dallas Baptist 1-12 310 H UT Rio Grande Valley SL ( 8-10, 94.8) 11- 7 313 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2- 3 314 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 315 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3- 1 318 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 6- 3 320 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 1- 4 321 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 322 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6-16 324 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 9- 3 327 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 3- 5 328 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 3- 7 329 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 4- 0 331 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 7-10 402 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 5- 4 403 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 5- 6 404 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 1- 5 408 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6-10 410 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 1- 8 411 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 8- 4 412 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 5 417 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 6- 7 418 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 6 419 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 11-15 421 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 15- 7 424 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 425 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 11- 5 426 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3- 8 428 H Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 15- 5 429 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 7- 1 502 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 5- 1 502 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 14- 1 503 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 3 505 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 6- 9 508 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5- 4 509 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 2- 7 510 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 12- 3 514 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 7- 1 515 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 0- 5 516 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 3- 2 519 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11- 1 520 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 12-11 521 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 3- 4 522 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 5- 4 523 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 12- 6 523 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 7- 4 524 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7-11 529 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 2-12 530 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10- 4 530 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10- 4 531 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 8- 6 531 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Missouri State 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.45
214 H Missouri State 12-13 -1 -1 -0.45
215 H Missouri State 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.55
217 H UT Rio Grande Valley 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.99
220 A UCF 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.59
221 H Maryland 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.03
222 H Maryland 6- 5 1 1 0.03
225 H Kansas State 3- 2 1 -1 1.86
227 H UC San Diego 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.34
228 H UC San Diego 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.66
301 H UC San Diego 4- 3 1 1 -0.34
304 A Milwaukee 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.57
306 H Sam Houston 6-13 -7 2 --- -9.31
310 H UT Rio Grande Valley 11- 7 4 1 + 3.01
313 H South Alabama 2- 3 -1 1 -1.56
314 H South Alabama 4- 3 1 1 0.44
315 H South Alabama 3- 1 2 1 1.44
318 H The Citadel 6- 3 3 1 + 2.19
320 A Texas State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39
321 H Wichita State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.18
322 A Texas State 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.39
324 H SE Louisiana 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.19
327 H UL Monroe 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.14
328 H UL Monroe 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.14
329 H UL Monroe 4- 0 4 1 + 2.86
331 A McNeese 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.11
402 A Janes Madison 5- 4 1 2 -1.30
403 A Janes Madison 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.30
404 A Janes Madison 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.30
408 H Texas State 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.74
410 A Saint Mary's 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.83
411 H Southern Miss 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.87
412 H Southern Miss 6- 5 1 -1 1.87
417 A Troy 6- 7 -1 -2 0.82
418 A Troy 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.82
419 A Troy 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.18
421 H Grambling 15- 7 8 8 -0.26
424 A Arkansas State 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.12
425 A Arkansas State 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.12
426 A Arkansas State 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.88
428 H Southern 15- 5 10 10 0.38
429 H Nicholls 7- 1 6 6 0.24
502 H Georgia State 5- 1 4 2 1.88
502 H Georgia State 14- 1 13 2 +++ 10.88
503 H Georgia State 4- 3 1 2 -1.12
505 H New Orleans 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.92
508 A App State 5- 4 1 -1 1.77
509 A App State 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.23
510 A App State 12- 3 9 -1 +++ 9.77
514 A South Carolina 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.15
515 A South Carolina 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.85
516 H Coastal Carolina 3- 2 1 0 0.73
519 H Marshall 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.71
520 A Coastal Carolina 12-11 1 -1 + 2.08
521 A Texas State 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.39
522 A Coastal Carolina 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.08
523 A Texas State 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.61
523 A Texas State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.61
524 A Southern Miss 7-11 -4 -2 -1.78
529 A Cincinnati 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.64
530 H Lipscomb 10- 4 6 4 + 2.49
530 H Lipscomb 10- 4 6 4 + 2.49
531 H Cincinnati 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.01
531 H Mississippi State 5-19 -14 -4 --- -10.42
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H UT Rio Grande Valley 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.99 306 H Sam Houston 6-13 -7 2 --- -9.31 322 A Texas State 6-16 -10 -1 --- -9.39 404 A Janes Madison 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.30 410 A Saint Mary's 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.83 529 A Cincinnati 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.64 531 H Mississippi State 5-19 -14 -4 --- -10.42 213 H Missouri State 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.45 227 H UC San Diego 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.34 328 H UL Monroe 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.14 331 A McNeese 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.11 408 H Texas State 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.74 505 H New Orleans 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.92 509 A App State 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.23 515 A South Carolina 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.85 320 A Texas State 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39 321 H Wichita State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.18 327 H UL Monroe 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.14 403 A Janes Madison 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.30 419 A Troy 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.18 426 A Arkansas State 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Maryland 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.03 228 H UC San Diego 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.66 425 A Arkansas State 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.12 502 H Georgia State 14- 1 13 2 +++ 10.88 510 A App State 12- 3 9 -1 +++ 9.77 514 A South Carolina 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.15 519 H Marshall 11- 1 10 2 +++ 7.71 523 A Texas State 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.61 220 A UCF 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.59 304 A Milwaukee 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.57 324 H SE Louisiana 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.19 411 H Southern Miss 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.87 215 H Missouri State 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.55 310 H UT Rio Grande Valley 11- 7 4 1 + 3.01 318 H The Citadel 6- 3 3 1 + 2.19 329 H UL Monroe 4- 0 4 1 + 2.86 418 A Troy 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.82 424 A Arkansas State 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.12 520 A Coastal Carolina 12-11 1 -1 + 2.08 522 A Coastal Carolina 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.08 523 A Texas State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.61 530 H Lipscomb 10- 4 6 4 + 2.49 530 H Lipscomb 10- 4 6 4 + 2.49 531 H Cincinnati 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 2- 8 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.44 -0.95
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 12-13 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.44 -0.95
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 9- 7 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.44 12.60
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 3-12 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.44 -1.29
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 7- 4 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.44 13.52
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 9- 1 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.44 11.24
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 6- 5 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.44 11.24
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1- 0 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.44 12.87
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.44 12.87
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 3- 7 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.44 -1.37
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 8- 0 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.44 10.92
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 3 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.44 10.92
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 7- 2 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.44 11.72
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 6-13 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.44 -1.59
3 H UT Rio Grande ( 8-10, 94.8) 11- 7 -5.13 13.29 -0.68 0.44 11.23
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2- 3 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.44 -1.20
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.44 11.61
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3- 1 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.44 11.61
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 6- 3 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.44 11.38
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 1- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 -0.94
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.44 -1.33
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6-16 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 -0.94
3 H SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 9- 3 -4.95 13.47 -0.68 0.44 11.39
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 3- 5 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.44 -1.33
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 3- 7 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.44 -1.33
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 4- 0 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.44 11.09
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 7-10 -6.61 11.82 0.68 0.44 -1.32
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 5- 4 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.44 10.06
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 5- 6 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.44 -1.59
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 1- 5 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.44 -1.59
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6-10 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.44 -1.24
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 1- 8 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.44 -1.04
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 8- 4 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.44 12.88
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 5 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.44 12.88
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 6- 7 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.44 -0.67
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 6 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.44 13.73
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 11-15 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.44 -0.67
3 H Grambling ( 0- 9, 87.5) 15- 7 -12.40 6.02 -0.68 0.44 4.76
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.44 13.10
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 11- 5 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.44 13.10
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3- 8 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.44 -0.82
3 H Southern ( 2- 7, 86.1) 15- 5 -13.77 4.66 -0.68 0.44 3.54
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 7- 1 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.44 6.98
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 5- 1 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 14- 1 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 3 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 6- 9 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.44 -1.50
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 5- 4 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.44 12.80
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 2- 7 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.44 -0.90
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 12- 3 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.44 12.80
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 7- 1 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.44 12.24
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 0- 5 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.44 -1.04
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.44 11.86
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11- 1 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.44 10.07
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 12-11 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.44 13.07
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 3- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 -0.94
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 5- 4 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.44 13.07
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 12- 6 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 12.65
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 7- 4 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.44 12.65
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 7-11 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.44 -0.58
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 2-12 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.44 -0.55
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10- 4 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.44 8.98
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10- 4 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.44 8.98
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 8- 6 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.44 13.01
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5-19 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.44 -0.28
------
412.21
|
winning pts = 440.1132 losing points = -27.8998
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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